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Showing posts from August, 2021

The Great and Powerful Oz

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Killing puppies. Arresting people for outdoor gatherings. Police urging citizens to inform on their neighbours, friends, and family.  This time last year Australia was bragging about how they had so quickly and efficiently eradicated covid. Granted, the early border closure was valid, but it's a short term solution that was continued far beyond its value. And stranding 40,000 of their own citizens overseas is the tip of the heartless iceberg of Australia's policies.  Despite their original lockdown only lasting 2 months, the level of cooperation seems to have spurred on some far nastier actions. Firsthand accounts describe the military escort to hotel prisons upon arrival in the country - negative tests not accepted - where incoming travellers are locked up for weeks with dire looking food rations and little to no exercise. Police have arrested people for attending protests, planning protests, or even just posting on social media that they would like to attend a protest.  One o

Cash and Freedom

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Cash is physical legal tender that can be used to exchange goods, debt, or services. Cash is simply an extension of the trade principal - a placeholder in between trades, to allow indirect exchange where people have differing needs. Using basic trade, I could provide a service to a farmer and obtain some food in return. The flaw is that the farmer may not need my service, meanwhile someone who does need my service may not produce food. Cash adds flexibility to the trade principle and allows more people to participate in it.  Moving the records of a person's cash earnings online does make a certain amount of sense in the modern age. However, if cash becomes obsolete, those numbers stop representing anything real and instead represent the "value" of each individual to the state. If digital currency becomes the norm, the solidity and security of cash is completely lost. Digital currency is vulnerable to hacking, it will make society more power-dependent, and it has absolutel

Ferguson's Failures

Neil Ferguson. Professor Lockdown. His word has been taken as gospel by SAGE, the government, and the British people, and his modelling influenced the decision to introduce lockdown back in March.  Let's take a look at some of his other statistical works of art.  2001 - Foot and Mouth Disease!  In 2001 Ferguson and his team produced modelling that influenced culling policies, including "ring" culling - slaughtering animals in neighbouring farms despite no evidence of infection (well, they could have been asymptomatic)  This move cost the UK economy an estimated £10 billion, plus the wasted slaughter of over 6 million cattle, sheep, and pigs.  The modelling used was heavily criticised by experts, who claim the modelling was "severely flawed", "not fit for purpose" and made a "serious error". Clearly, this heroic work deserved an OBE, awarded to Ferguson in 2002. 2002 - Mad Cow Disease!  Ferguson predicted up to 50,000 deaths from BSE in the UK